Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +19.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Seguin 54.2% (-19.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 80.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 66.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 79.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Hughes
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Hughes
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Hughes
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
55.0% (713)
-20.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
56.7% (104)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.2% (53)
-13.9%
On even strength, Seguin has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Hughes
Seguin
Home
37.4% (235)
56.2% (443)
Away
33.2% (229)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Hughes
Seguin
P1
37.1%
54.2%
P2
33.7%
52.9%
P3
34.8%
57.1%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |