Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Seguin 52.5% (-17.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 54.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 81.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 53.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Hughes
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
53.2% (201)
-16.4%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
60.0% (25)
-45.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.4% (9)
-11.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Hughes shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Hughes
Seguin
Home
35.1% (148)
56.3% (126)
Away
37.4% (131)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Hughes
Seguin
P1
43.0%
44.3%
P2
28.7%
52.1%
P3
35.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
28.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%