Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs McBain 46.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 66.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 66.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 68.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Lizotte
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Lizotte
McBain
Last 10: Lizotte 7-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
McBain
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
3
Lizotte
McBain
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
9
5
Lizotte
McBain
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
48.0% (2,298)
+3.6%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
49.0% (51)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
35.7% (308)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
Home / Away
Lizotte
McBain
Home
49.5% (1,840)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Lizotte
McBain
P1
48.0%
46.7%
P2
52.3%
47.5%
P3
50.5%
45.6%
OT
75.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |