Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Dickinson 48.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 67.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 56.2%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 55.7%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
McBain
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
McBain
Dickinson
Last 10: McBain 5-5 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
2
McBain
Dickinson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
Dickinson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Dickinson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
48.6% (626)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
44.0% (25)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
44.2% (120)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
McBain
Dickinson
Home
45.5% (437)
45.4% (368)
Away
42.4% (403)
49.9% (403)
By Period
McBain
Dickinson
P1
43.5%
49.2%
P2
44.0%
46.3%
P3
45.0%
48.1%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Jack McBain |