Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Dickinson 50.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 50.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 74.9%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 63.9%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
McBain
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McBain
Dickinson
Last 5: McBain 3-2 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Dickinson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Dickinson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
2
McBain
Dickinson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
51.2% (912)
-4.9%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
63.8% (58)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
42.9% (266)
-5.1%
On power play, Dickinson has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McBain shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
McBain
Dickinson
Home
50.6% (330)
52.9% (664)
Away
39.7% (320)
46.7% (572)
By Period
McBain
Dickinson
P1
45.4%
49.0%
P2
44.5%
48.3%
P3
45.7%
52.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Jack McBain |