Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Dickinson 47.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 50.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 60.9%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 51.4%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
McBain
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
McBain
Dickinson
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
5
3
McBain
Dickinson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
4
3
McBain
Dickinson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
4
3
McBain
Dickinson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
49.0% (4,363)
-1.0%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
51.1% (141)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
40.5% (884)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
McBain shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,448).
Home / Away
McBain
Dickinson
Home
49.0% (1,359)
49.3% (2,779)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
45.9% (2,609)
By Period
McBain
Dickinson
P1
46.7%
46.9%
P2
47.5%
48.1%
P3
45.6%
47.8%
OT
37.5%
52.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jack McBain |