Jack McBain vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). McBain wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Pageau 54.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 16-5 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 86.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 96.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 92.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
McBain
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
16
(21 meetings)
5
16
McBain
Pageau
Last 10: McBain 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
6
McBain
Pageau
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
8
McBain
Pageau
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
McBain
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
55.7% (9,486)
-7.7%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
57.0% (1,002)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
49.6% (2,069)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McBain is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (990).
McBain shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Home / Away
McBain
Pageau
Home
49.0% (1,359)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
McBain
Pageau
P1
46.7%
54.6%
P2
47.5%
56.3%
P3
45.6%
53.5%
OT
37.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:54 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |