Jack McBain vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Pageau 58.8% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone
McBain 64.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 60.9%
Neutral zone
McBain 51.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
McBain
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
59.1% (687)
-7.0%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
69.4% (36)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
60.1% (213)
-23.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McBain shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
McBain
Pageau
Home
52.2% (289)
57.8% (377)
Away
50.0% (316)
61.0% (559)
By Period
McBain
Pageau
P1
52.6%
54.1%
P2
53.6%
62.1%
P3
47.1%
61.8%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%