Jack McBain vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Pageau 55.0% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 71.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 59.3%
Neutral zone
McBain 67.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
McBain
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McBain
Pageau
Last 6: McBain 2-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
McBain
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
McBain
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
57.1% (905)
-10.8%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
55.2% (116)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
48.0% (204)
-10.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
McBain shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
McBain
Pageau
Home
50.6% (330)
57.0% (618)
Away
39.7% (320)
53.9% (607)
By Period
McBain
Pageau
P1
45.4%
54.4%
P2
44.5%
61.0%
P3
45.7%
51.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:54 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |