Jack McBain vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McBain wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Pageau 56.7% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 92.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 89.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 89.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
McBain
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
McBain
Pageau
Last 10: McBain 3-7 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
5
McBain
Pageau
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
6
McBain
Pageau
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
McBain
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
58.8% (889)
-13.5%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
58.2% (182)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
48.6% (185)
-11.0%
On even strength, Pageau has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
McBain shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
McBain
Pageau
Home
45.5% (437)
59.0% (595)
Away
42.4% (403)
55.7% (661)
By Period
McBain
Pageau
P1
43.5%
58.9%
P2
44.0%
57.9%
P3
45.0%
55.6%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |