Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Ek 48.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 52.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 57.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 57.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
McBain
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McBain
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
47.2% (815)
+4.9%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
53.8% (266)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
47.8% (180)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
McBain
Ek
Home
52.2% (289)
49.9% (693)
Away
50.0% (316)
47.2% (568)
By Period
McBain
Ek
P1
52.6%
46.2%
P2
53.6%
52.6%
P3
47.1%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Jack McBain |