Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Ek 49.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 62.5%
Defensive zone
McBain 76.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 63.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
McBain
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McBain
Ek
Last 9: McBain 3-6 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
3
McBain
Ek
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Ek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
0
2
McBain
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
48.4% (926)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
55.4% (327)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
41.4% (133)
-3.8%
On power play, Ek has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Ek is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (817).
Home / Away
McBain
Ek
Home
45.5% (437)
50.1% (689)
Away
42.4% (403)
48.6% (697)
By Period
McBain
Ek
P1
43.5%
49.5%
P2
44.0%
49.3%
P3
45.0%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
53.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |