Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Ek 49.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 63.5%
Defensive zone
McBain 61.5%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.5%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
McBain
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
McBain
Ek
Last 8: McBain 4-4 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
McBain
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McBain
Ek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
47.7% (1,023)
-1.4%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
60.2% (362)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
41.5% (217)
-3.7%
On power play, Ek has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McBain shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Home / Away
McBain
Ek
Home
50.6% (330)
48.3% (801)
Away
39.7% (320)
51.1% (801)
By Period
McBain
Ek
P1
45.4%
50.2%
P2
44.5%
50.1%
P3
45.7%
49.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |