Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 28.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs Ek 47.7% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 73.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 78.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 73.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
McBain
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
McBain
Ek
Last 7: McBain 0-7 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
4
McBain
Ek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
McBain
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
0
2
McBain
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
48.0% (920)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
40.3% (243)
-22.7%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. McBain is 28.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
McBain shoots left. Ek is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (942).
Home / Away
McBain
Ek
Home
33.8% (68)
49.1% (740)
Away
34.3% (35)
46.1% (725)
By Period
McBain
Ek
P1
40.6%
47.6%
P2
40.5%
48.9%
P3
20.6%
45.4%
Final 5 min
35.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
34.0%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |