Scouting Report
Logan Brown holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 28.8% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs Brown 43.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 50.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 57.9%
Neutral zone
McBain 52.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
McBain
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
McBain
Brown
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
2
McBain
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
McBain
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
39.2% (166)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
0.0% (1)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. McBain is 28.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
McBain shoots left. Brown is 35.2% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
McBain
Brown
Home
33.8% (68)
36.5% (85)
Away
34.3% (35)
42.2% (83)
By Period
McBain
Brown
P1
40.6%
42.1%
P2
40.5%
29.1%
P3
20.6%
46.4%
Final 5 min
35.7%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
34.0%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Logan Brown |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Logan Brown |