Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Brown 40.3% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 52.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 87.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 71.6%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
McBain
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McBain
Brown
Last 6: McBain 4-2 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
35.7% (154)
+9.6%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
23.1% (13)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
0.0% (1)
+37.6%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +37.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Brown is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
McBain
Brown
Home
45.5% (437)
39.7% (73)
Away
42.4% (403)
30.5% (95)
By Period
McBain
Brown
P1
43.5%
30.4%
P2
44.0%
39.7%
P3
45.0%
32.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
34.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Logan Brown |