Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Brown 39.6% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 74.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 60.3%
Neutral zone
Brown 56.4%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
McBain
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
McBain
Brown
Last 9: McBain 4-5 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McBain
Brown
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
2
McBain
Brown
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
37.4% (457)
+10.6%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
39.4% (33)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
25.0% (4)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
McBain shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
McBain
Brown
Home
49.0% (1,359)
39.7% (239)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
35.3% (255)
By Period
McBain
Brown
P1
46.7%
39.8%
P2
47.5%
33.7%
P3
45.6%
38.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Logan Brown |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Logan Brown |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Logan Brown |