Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Beniers 42.9% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 66.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 77.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 61.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
McBain
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McBain
Beniers
Last 8: McBain 5-3 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
0
McBain
Beniers
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
McBain
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
42.3% (879)
+3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
40.3% (72)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
44.4% (18)
-6.8%
On power play, McBain has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
McBain
Beniers
Home
45.5% (437)
43.8% (495)
Away
42.4% (403)
40.5% (474)
By Period
McBain
Beniers
P1
43.5%
43.3%
P2
44.0%
45.6%
P3
45.0%
38.2%
OT
33.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Jack McBain |