Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Beniers 47.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 62.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 61.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 63.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
McBain
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McBain
Beniers
Last 5: McBain 1-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
2
McBain
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
3
McBain
Beniers
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
48.3% (1,050)
+2.9%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
42.9% (105)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
43.6% (39)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
McBain
Beniers
Home
53.6% (235)
48.7% (630)
Away
46.0% (224)
46.5% (564)
By Period
McBain
Beniers
P1
48.6%
49.2%
P2
50.9%
45.0%
P3
50.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
55.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |