Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Beniers 49.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 52.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 56.3%
Neutral zone
McBain 57.1%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
McBain
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McBain
Beniers
Last 5: McBain 3-2 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
2
McBain
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
48.9% (833)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
58.3% (36)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
50.0% (32)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
McBain
Beniers
Home
52.2% (289)
52.4% (460)
Away
50.0% (316)
46.0% (441)
By Period
McBain
Beniers
P1
52.6%
48.4%
P2
53.6%
51.1%
P3
47.1%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |