Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs McCarron 52.8% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 54.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 62.3%
Neutral zone
McCarron 52.0%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
McBain
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McBain
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
54.5% (618)
-8.2%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
42.1% (19)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
35.3% (34)
+2.5%
On even strength, McCarron has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
McBain shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
McBain
McCarron
Home
50.6% (330)
52.2% (339)
Away
39.7% (320)
54.2% (332)
By Period
McBain
McCarron
P1
45.4%
53.5%
P2
44.5%
50.6%
P3
45.7%
55.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |