Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs McCarron 54.0% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 74.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 83.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 60.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
McBain
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
McBain
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McBain
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McBain
McCarron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
54.2% (756)
-3.0%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
55.6% (9)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
55.1% (158)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. McBain is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
McBain shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
McBain
McCarron
Home
53.6% (235)
54.6% (445)
Away
46.0% (224)
54.2% (478)
By Period
McBain
McCarron
P1
48.6%
53.6%
P2
50.9%
55.6%
P3
50.0%
53.7%
Final 5 min
55.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jack McBain |