Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 52.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 65.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 58.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
McBain
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McBain
Zibanejad
Last 9: McBain 3-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
McBain
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
McBain
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
3
McBain
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
50.1% (1,051)
-4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
58.3% (120)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
41.9% (227)
-4.3%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
McBain shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
McBain
Zibanejad
Home
45.5% (437)
49.0% (681)
Away
42.4% (403)
49.9% (717)
By Period
McBain
Zibanejad
P1
43.5%
49.9%
P2
44.0%
47.6%
P3
45.0%
51.1%
OT
33.3%
48.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |