Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.8%). McBain wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 55.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 50.9%
Neutral zone
McBain 52.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
McBain
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McBain
Zibanejad
Last 6: McBain 2-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
McBain
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McBain
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
McBain
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
53.4% (770)
-1.3%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
46.2% (39)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
44.7% (141)
-7.7%
On power play, McBain has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McBain shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
McBain
Zibanejad
Home
52.2% (289)
49.0% (429)
Away
50.0% (316)
54.1% (521)
By Period
McBain
Zibanejad
P1
52.6%
53.0%
P2
53.6%
51.1%
P3
47.1%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |