Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 69.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 54.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 64.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
McBain
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
McBain
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
50.9% (913)
-4.6%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
59.0% (39)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
37.5% (160)
+0.3%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
McBain shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
McBain
Zibanejad
Home
50.6% (330)
51.1% (536)
Away
39.7% (320)
47.6% (576)
By Period
McBain
Zibanejad
P1
45.4%
50.1%
P2
44.5%
47.3%
P3
45.7%
50.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Jack McBain |