Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Backlund 49.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 71.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 70.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 54.6%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
McBain
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McBain
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
50.1% (891)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
53.1% (64)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
47.8% (278)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
McBain
Backlund
Home
52.2% (289)
48.1% (580)
Away
50.0% (316)
51.1% (653)
By Period
McBain
Backlund
P1
52.6%
45.1%
P2
53.6%
54.7%
P3
47.1%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Jack McBain |