Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 28.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs Backlund 50.5% (-16.5%)
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 55.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
McBain
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
51.5% (983)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
45.3% (159)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McBain is 28.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
McBain shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
McBain
Backlund
Home
33.8% (68)
51.6% (653)
Away
34.3% (35)
49.3% (576)
By Period
McBain
Backlund
P1
40.6%
50.0%
P2
40.5%
49.8%
P3
20.6%
51.7%
Final 5 min
35.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
34.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%