Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Backlund 50.8% (-6.9%)
Offensive zone
Backlund 68.5%
Defensive zone
McBain 65.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
McBain
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
51.9% (1,083)
-6.6%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
51.7% (120)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
44.3% (183)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
McBain
Backlund
Home
45.5% (437)
51.9% (673)
Away
42.4% (403)
49.9% (713)
By Period
McBain
Backlund
P1
43.5%
51.4%
P2
44.0%
50.5%
P3
45.0%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
35.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%