Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Barron 51.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 59.9%
Defensive zone
Barron 53.3%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
McBain
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McBain
Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
McBain
Barron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
52.6% (152)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
45.5% (11)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Barron is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
McBain
Barron
Home
53.6% (235)
46.1% (76)
Away
46.0% (224)
57.5% (87)
By Period
McBain
Barron
P1
48.6%
63.0%
P2
50.9%
51.0%
P3
50.0%
45.6%
Final 5 min
55.1%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |