Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Barron 48.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 64.0%
Defensive zone
Barron 58.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 53.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
McBain
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McBain
Barron
Last 9: McBain 3-6 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Barron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
3
McBain
Barron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
2
McBain
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
49.5% (731)
-1.5%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
50.0% (6)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
42.6% (209)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
McBain shoots left. Barron is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
McBain
Barron
Home
49.0% (1,359)
45.5% (457)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
50.3% (489)
By Period
McBain
Barron
P1
46.7%
47.6%
P2
47.5%
51.3%
P3
45.6%
45.0%
OT
37.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |