Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Barron 47.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 59.1%
Defensive zone
Barron 86.2%
Neutral zone
Barron 61.9%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
McBain
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
McBain
Barron
Last 8: McBain 3-5 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Barron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
3
McBain
Barron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
2
McBain
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
48.8% (371)
+3.3%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
33.3% (3)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
42.0% (174)
-5.0%
On power play, McBain has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Barron is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
McBain
Barron
Home
52.2% (289)
44.9% (283)
Away
50.0% (316)
48.3% (265)
By Period
McBain
Barron
P1
52.6%
44.8%
P2
53.6%
50.7%
P3
47.1%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |