Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Hischier 54.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 64.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 69.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 69.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
McBain
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McBain
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
McBain
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
McBain
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (504)
54.7% (887)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
66.5% (194)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (42)
38.9% (108)
-5.6%
On power play, Hischier has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McBain is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
McBain shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Home / Away
McBain
Hischier
Home
51.8% (251)
56.6% (537)
Away
50.5% (307)
54.0% (652)
By Period
McBain
Hischier
P1
50.9%
55.2%
P2
53.9%
57.2%
P3
48.1%
54.2%
OT
100.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.1%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |