Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Hischier 53.6% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 78.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 69.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
McBain
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
McBain
Hischier
Last 10: McBain 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
McBain
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
3
McBain
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
5
3
McBain
Hischier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
52.4% (1,185)
-7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
57.8% (315)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
57.1% (154)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
McBain
Hischier
Home
45.5% (437)
53.4% (844)
Away
42.4% (403)
54.3% (810)
By Period
McBain
Hischier
P1
43.5%
49.7%
P2
44.0%
54.6%
P3
45.0%
56.1%
OT
33.3%
65.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Jack McBain |