Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Hischier 56.2% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 60.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 64.2%
Neutral zone
McBain 54.8%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
McBain
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McBain
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
McBain
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
56.1% (1,018)
-9.8%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
59.9% (289)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
51.3% (80)
-13.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McBain shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
McBain
Hischier
Home
50.6% (330)
56.5% (706)
Away
39.7% (320)
56.7% (681)
By Period
McBain
Hischier
P1
45.4%
54.8%
P2
44.5%
57.8%
P3
45.7%
57.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:02 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |