Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Hischier 54.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 62.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 64.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 66.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
McBain
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McBain
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
McBain
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
McBain
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
55.0% (1,107)
-2.9%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
63.1% (252)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
43.6% (149)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
McBain
Hischier
Home
52.2% (289)
56.5% (763)
Away
50.0% (316)
54.0% (745)
By Period
McBain
Hischier
P1
52.6%
56.0%
P2
53.6%
57.6%
P3
47.1%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |