Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Aho 54.9% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 59.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 71.0%
Neutral zone
McBain 51.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
McBain
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McBain
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
McBain
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
54.5% (870)
-3.3%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
62.4% (266)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
37.1% (62)
-9.8%
On power play, Aho has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
McBain
Aho
Home
53.6% (235)
53.9% (603)
Away
46.0% (224)
56.8% (595)
By Period
McBain
Aho
P1
48.6%
54.1%
P2
50.9%
55.0%
P3
50.0%
57.4%
Final 5 min
55.1%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |