Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Zegras 35.4% (+20.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 52.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 85.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 78.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
McBain
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McBain
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
29.6% (230)
+22.5%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
32.1% (56)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
100.0% (1)
-63.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +63.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
McBain
Zegras
Home
52.2% (289)
30.6% (147)
Away
50.0% (316)
30.0% (140)
By Period
McBain
Zegras
P1
52.6%
33.0%
P2
53.6%
31.7%
P3
47.1%
25.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |