Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Zegras 39.2% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 54.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 94.2%
Neutral zone
McBain 84.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
McBain
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
McBain
Zegras
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
McBain
Zegras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
0
McBain
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
Zegras
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
38.6% (1,669)
+9.4%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
38.5% (148)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
28.6% (7)
+7.1%
On power play, McBain has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
McBain shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
McBain
Zegras
Home
49.0% (1,359)
39.9% (882)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
37.4% (942)
By Period
McBain
Zegras
P1
46.7%
40.2%
P2
47.5%
38.0%
P3
45.6%
37.7%
OT
37.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
48.8%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Jack McBain |