Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Zegras 42.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 75.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 72.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 54.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
McBain
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McBain
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
McBain
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
41.1% (559)
+4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
50.0% (12)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
50.0% (2)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
McBain
Zegras
Home
45.5% (437)
45.7% (247)
Away
42.4% (403)
38.0% (326)
By Period
McBain
Zegras
P1
43.5%
45.5%
P2
44.0%
36.8%
P3
45.0%
41.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Jack McBain |