Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Zegras 43.3% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 56.5%
Defensive zone
McBain 85.2%
Neutral zone
McBain 67.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
McBain
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McBain
Zegras
Last 8: McBain 5-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
Zegras
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
39.8% (128)
+6.5%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
22.2% (9)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
0.0% (1)
+37.8%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McBain shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
McBain
Zegras
Home
50.6% (330)
29.7% (74)
Away
39.7% (320)
48.4% (64)
By Period
McBain
Zegras
P1
45.4%
40.7%
P2
44.5%
35.1%
P3
45.7%
41.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Jack McBain |