Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 76.2%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 71.1%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 78.7%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Roslovic
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Roslovic
Pavelski
Last 10: Roslovic 4-6 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
4
Roslovic
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
1
Roslovic
Pavelski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
5
Roslovic
Pavelski
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
53.6% (8,791)
-8.7%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
58.2% (2,122)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
50.9% (1,138)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,065).
Roslovic shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Pavelski
Home
44.0% (1,737)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Roslovic
Pavelski
P1
45.5%
53.5%
P2
44.6%
55.2%
P3
44.9%
53.9%
OT
31.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |