Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 69.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 87.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 83.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 87.2%
12.8%
87.2%
Roslovic
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Roslovic
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
52.5% (570)
-9.6%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
54.5% (145)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
44.4% (36)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Roslovic is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Roslovic shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Pavelski
Home
41.6% (442)
55.0% (391)
Away
45.5% (413)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Roslovic
Pavelski
P1
44.9%
50.8%
P2
43.8%
55.0%
P3
41.8%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |