Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 46.0% vs Pavelski 50.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 65.8%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 50.9%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 58.6%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Roslovic
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roslovic
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Roslovic
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (106)
51.5% (594)
-7.2%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
51.7% (87)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
28.6% (14)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Roslovic is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Roslovic shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Pavelski
Home
36.9% (65)
53.1% (339)
Away
49.2% (61)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Roslovic
Pavelski
P1
32.1%
53.8%
P2
50.0%
47.8%
P3
46.2%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
42.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |