Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.9% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 75.8%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 70.6%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 78.3%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Roslovic
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Roslovic
Pavelski
Last 10: Roslovic 4-6 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
4
Roslovic
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
1
Roslovic
Pavelski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
5
Roslovic
Pavelski
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (2,938)
53.6% (8,791)
-8.8%
Power Play
48.0% (333)
58.2% (2,122)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
50.9% (1,138)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,055).
Roslovic shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Pavelski
Home
43.9% (1,701)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
45.7% (1,675)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Roslovic
Pavelski
P1
45.4%
53.5%
P2
44.3%
55.2%
P3
44.8%
53.9%
OT
31.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
44.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
52.0%▬
51.0%
44.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |