Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Tavares 59.8% (-17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 78.8%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 73.2%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 72.9%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Roslovic
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Roslovic
Tavares
Last 6: Roslovic 1-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Roslovic
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Roslovic
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
60.9% (1,043)
-18.0%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
60.4% (278)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
47.6% (21)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Roslovic shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Tavares
Home
41.6% (442)
63.5% (684)
Away
45.5% (413)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Roslovic
Tavares
P1
44.9%
60.3%
P2
43.8%
60.4%
P3
41.8%
60.1%
OT
0.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |