Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Tavares 57.7% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 57.2%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 54.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 62.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Roslovic
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Roslovic
Tavares
Last 7: Roslovic 3-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
1
Roslovic
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Roslovic
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
57.5% (914)
-11.7%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
60.5% (309)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
59.1% (22)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Roslovic is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Roslovic shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Tavares
Home
45.4% (447)
61.0% (661)
Away
44.6% (442)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Roslovic
Tavares
P1
43.2%
58.6%
P2
44.7%
57.8%
P3
47.2%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.0%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |