Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 53.2% vs Tavares 57.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 76.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Roslovic
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Roslovic
Tavares
Last 5: Roslovic 4-1 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
0
Roslovic
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (299)
57.7% (998)
-2.5%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
60.5% (271)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
56.4% (39)
-56.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Roslovic is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Roslovic shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Tavares
Home
54.0% (200)
59.7% (610)
Away
54.2% (155)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Roslovic
Tavares
P1
57.0%
57.2%
P2
54.3%
58.5%
P3
50.9%
59.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
54.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |