Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Eller 49.5% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 76.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 79.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.8%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Roslovic
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Roslovic
Eller
Last 6: Roslovic 3-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Roslovic
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Roslovic
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
51.1% (786)
-8.2%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
45.0% (80)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
43.6% (165)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Roslovic shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Eller
Home
41.6% (442)
51.2% (510)
Away
45.5% (413)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Roslovic
Eller
P1
44.9%
50.7%
P2
43.8%
49.0%
P3
41.8%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |