Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Eller 53.3% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 86.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 52.5%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 72.8%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Roslovic
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Roslovic
Eller
Last 8: Roslovic 2-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
1
Roslovic
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Roslovic
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Roslovic
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
53.8% (865)
-8.0%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
57.1% (21)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
52.6% (137)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Roslovic is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Roslovic shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Eller
Home
45.4% (447)
56.4% (486)
Away
44.6% (442)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Roslovic
Eller
P1
43.2%
55.1%
P2
44.7%
55.3%
P3
47.2%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |