Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Eller 50.5% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 91.6%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 54.6%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 79.3%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Roslovic
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Roslovic
Eller
Last 10: Roslovic 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
6
1
Roslovic
Eller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
8
Roslovic
Eller
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
4
Roslovic
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
51.1% (10,296)
-6.2%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
52.8% (621)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
46.7% (1,751)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Roslovic is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,376).
Roslovic shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Eller
Home
44.0% (1,737)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Roslovic
Eller
P1
45.5%
51.2%
P2
44.6%
50.1%
P3
44.9%
50.2%
OT
31.8%
56.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |